A Daily news digest by Jasper van Santen

Learning from the Hungarians: Why Santorum and Gingrich need each other – Al Jazeera English

In News, Politics on March 23, 2012 at 10:19

Why Santorum and Gingrich need each other . – Even though we don’t need them.

“Following the Illinois primary, I assume there will be renewed calls for either Rick Santorum or Newt Gingrich (and most likely the latter) to drop out of the race in order for conservative Republicans to increase their influence on the party’s nomination process. The logic of the argument is very intuitive: as long as Santorum and Gingrich split the anti-Romney conservative vote, Romney can keep winning primaries with less than majority support.

Let me suggest a reason why it might be possible that the conventional wisdom is wrong, based on two simple assumptions:

Assumption #1: Neither Santorum nor Gingrich can get the required 1,144 delegates to win the nominating process and therefore their only hope of winning the nomination is to go to a brokered convention, where anything could conceivably happen.

Assumption #2: While, in any given state, Santorum (or Gingrich) is likely to get more of Gingrich’s (or Santorum’s) supporters should the other drop out, he wouldn’t necessarily pick up all of his rival’s supporters.”

 

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